About

Portrait

It was while working on a convertible roof-top, two-seater electric trike project to combat transportation related emissions in 2016, I became aware of the consequences of climate change. The fact that "the electric cars are only as clean as the source of electricity that powers them" motivated me to pursue Master in Energy and Environment at Ecole Polytechnique, France.

Recently, the world is increasingly being powered by variable renewable energies. With growing share of renewables in the energy mix, the energy sector is increasingly becoming weather sensitive. This encouraged me to pursue Doctoral studies (PhD) in "Subseasonal-to-seasonal meteorological predictions for the energy industry" at Ecole Polytechnique (collaboration between Electricité de France and Laboratoire de Météorologie Dynamique).

I am a scientist and an engineer, and I am here to contribute to mitigating climate change by reinforcing our energy transition goals. My areas of research include subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasting, understanding the impact of climate change on the characteristics of tropical/extratropical cyclones and sand/dust storms, and quantifying the impact of climate change on the energy assets.

Some of my favorite books include Start with Why and Leaders Eat Last by Simon Sinek, How to fly a Horse by Kevin Ashton, The Goal by Eliyahu M. Goldratt, Originals by Adam Grant, Deep work by Cal Newport, The 7 Habits of Highly Effective People by Stephen R. Covey, Enlightenment Now by Steven Pinker, The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel, Rich Dad Poor Dad by Robert Kiyosaki, Investing in Real Estate by Gary W. Eldred, Broken Money by Lyn Alden, and The Intelligent Investor by Benjamin Graham.

When I am not doing research, I am either playing table tennis/badminton or hiking/kayaking or sewing.

Accomplishments

PhD Thesis

Sub-seasonal meteorological predictions for the European energy sector : Quantitative assessment, improvement, and application, Ecole Polytechnique, Jan 2020 - Dec 2022.

Book(s)

I contributed to co-writing a chapter on Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Forecasts for Energy in the 2nd edition of the book Sub-seasonal to Seasonal Prediction: The gap between weather and climate forecasting edited by Andrew W. Robertson and Frédéric Vitart. The book is planned for release in 2025.

Scientific Publications

  1. Statistical downscaling to improve the sub-seasonal predictions of energy-relevant surface variables, Monthly Weather Review, 151, 275-296 (2023).
  2. How skillful are the European subseasonal predictions of wind speed and surface temperature?, Monthly Weather Review, 150(7), 1621-1637 (2022).
  3. Using machine learning methods to improve surface wind speed from the outputs of a Numerical Weather Prediction model, Boundary-Layer Meteorology 179, 133–161 (2021).
  4. A novel concept of a simplified night vision system for on-road driving, Advanced Science, Engineering and Medicine, Volume 10, Numbers 3-5, pp. 341-345(5) (2018).

Conference presentations

  1. Projections of the large-scale drivers influencing the North Atlantic tropical cyclones, EGU General Assembly 2024, Vienna, Austria, 14-19 Apr 2024, EGU24-11146.
  2. How well in advance can we predict cold spells over France?, EGU General Assembly 2023, Vienna, Austria, 24–28 Apr 2023, EGU23-5201.
  3. Improving the skill of sub-seasonal forecasts of wind speed and surface temperature using information from large-scale fields: a proof of concept, EGU General Assembly 2022, Vienna, Austria, 23–27 May 2022, EGU22-1891.
  4. Verification of the European subseasonal forecasts of wind speed and temperature, EGU General Assembly 2021, online, 19–30 Apr 2021, EGU21-14728.

Internships I (co-)supervised

  1. Seasonal forecasting of heat waves over France: quantitative assessment and improvement - Thomas LECLERE, Mar-Aug 2024.
  2. An interactive web application to visualise subseasonal-to-seasonal forecasts of energy-relevant variables over France - Antoine GAUDRON-DESJARDINS, Feb-July 2024.
  3. Improving the seasonal forecasts of cold spells over France - Lala Aïcha SARR, Mar-Aug 2023.
  4. Quantitative assessment of the seasonal forecasts of winter temperature over France - Omar HIMYCH, Mar-Aug 2022.
  5. Influence of the state of the stratosphere on predictability of surface variables relevant to energy - Boris MORIN, Mar-Aug 2021.

Open-source softwares

I consider sharing the softwares I develop as open-source packages an essential part of my work. I believe sharing important things as documented open-source packages makes the advancement of science quicker.
Here is a list of all the open-source softwares I have developed so far:

  1. A python package to understand the quality of an ensemble forecasting system in terms of reliability and resolution (developed in collaboration with Camille Le Coz): ReliabilityDiagram
  2. A python package to compute Continuous Ranked Probability Score (CRPS), Fair-CRPS, and Adjusted-CRPS: CRPS
  3. A python package to adjust the bias of forecasts/hindcasts using Mean and Variance Adjustment method: mva

Patents

The innovation we carried out during my time at Valeo R&D resulted in several patents.
Here is a list of all the patents I co-authored:

  1. FR3101224
  2. FR3101283
  3. FR3102908
  4. FR3107800
  5. EP4032371
  6. WO2021053283
  7. WO2021170950

Other Projects

  1. A rule-based EMS for a micro-grid by taking into account the net energy forecasts.
  2. Sizing of a PV + battery system and design of a battery dispatching algorithm for a micro-grid.
  3. A study on the intermittence of renewable energies and viable solutions for storage.
  4. A review on the safe use of batteries in Electric Vehicles.
  5. Offshore wind capacity tenders in the UK, France, and Germany: A case study.
  6. A review on the future of agriculture: Controlled Environment Vertical Farming.
  7. All my mechanical design projects in the form of a portfolio.
  8. Short movies: Take Care and Elru Kaal Elitade Kaala.

Awards

  • CIFRE fellowship to pursue PhD at EDF, France (2020).
  • Valedictorian, Master in Energy Environment, Ecole Polytechnique, France (2019).
  • Industrial Partner Scholarship from Total Energies to pursue Master at Ecole Polytechnique (2017).
  • Valedictorian with a Gold Medal, Bachelor in Mechanical Engineering, JAIN University, India (2016).

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